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Argentina Renewables Report Q1 2015

Argentina Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Despite an attractive regulatory framework and ambitious government plans for expansion, we
maintain a relatively bearish outlook towards the Argentine renewables industry. An unappealing business
environment and limited project financing opportunities will continue to limit the sector's growth potential
over the forecast period.
Argentina's positive regulatory framework for renewables on the surface looks appealing to investors. For
example, the country has adopted an ambitious target of sourcing 8% of its electricity demand from

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Portugal Renewables Report Q1 2015

Portugal Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Growth in the Portuguese renewable energy market continues to be sluggish, with the country's
embattled economy weighing on growth prospects in the power and renewables industries. The wind sector
dominates the renewables mix. We do not expect growth to pick up markedly as investor sentiment remains
low and the renewables project pipeline is limited.
Portugal has been pursuing a green energy agenda since 2001, adopting the E4 Programme (Energy

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Australia Renewables Report Q1 2015

Australia Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: We are maintaining our 2015 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable generation and capacity
in Australia this quarter as we had previously incorporated the effects of a decrease in investment.
However, we are revising down our long-term forecasts due to continued political uncertainty and the
ongoing decline in new investments.
We are maintaining our 2015 growth forecast for non-hydropower renewable generation in Australia this
quarter at 8.7%. This is significantly lower than the five-year historical average growth rate of 11.7% and is

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Mexico Renewables Report Q1 2015

Mexico Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: Mexico will maintain its position as a key Latin American renewables market over the coming
decade, registering the second highest installed renewables capacity in the region by 2023. Our positive
outlook for Mexico's renewables industry is based upon a number of strong fundamentals, including
energy sector reform, strong investor interest and the increasing cost competitiveness of renewable
technology.
Mexico's adoption of the 'General Law on Climate Change' in June 2012 set a target of boosting the

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Taiwan Renewables Report Q1 2015

Taiwan Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: We are currently maintaining our forecasts for limited growth of around 4% per year in
Taiwan's renewable energy sector, as a lack of progress on major projects and limited legislative
development is hindering the realisation of ambitious government green energy targets. Nuclear and
thermal energy are expected to continue to dominate Taiwan's energy mix, while biomass and wind power
will lead the way in terms of renewables.
Biomass and waste generation accounts for around 75% of total non-hydropower renewable energy

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Turkey Renewables Report Q1 2015

Turkey Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: Turkey's renewables industry is set to expand rapidly over the coming decade and efforts to cut
domestic reliance on gas could create even more momentum in the wind sector - which we have previously
highlighted as a global renewables 'brightspot'. We also see significant growth potential in Turkey's nascent
solar sector, in line with the government's push to improve its energy security situation.
Despite the dominance of thermal generated electricity, Turkey's renewables sector presents significant

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Q3 2014 - Renewable Energy Policy Update

Q3 2014 - Renewable Energy Policy Update

Date Published: Nov 10 2014

Q3 2014 - Renewable Energy Policy Update

Summary

Until recently, Europe was the largest renewable energy market in the world but it has now been overtaken by Asia-Pacific. Under the European Union’s (EU) Renewables Directive, member states are committed to national targets that increase the share of renewable energy used in the country’s energy consumption by 2020. The targets reflected the states' variable starting points and levels of potential, ranging from 10% in Malta to 49% in Sweden.

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Poland Renewables Report Q1 2015

Poland Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: Poland's reluctance to adopt stringent EU emissions targets for 2030 sends warning signals to
potential investors in the country's renewables industry. Poland's wavering support for renewable energy
and - by extension - the uncertain regulatory environment has long been a key concern, undermining the
long-term growth prospects of the sector, despite the recent approval of the RES law.
Poland aims to derive 15% of its energy production from renewable sources by 2020, and we expect the

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Geothermal to Maintain its Dominance in the Philippines

Geothermal to Maintain its Dominance in the Philippines

Date Published: Oct 31 2014

Geothermal to Maintain its Dominance in the Philippines

Summary

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Austria Renewables Report Q1 2015

Austria Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: We are maintaining our growth forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy generation in
Austria this quarter. Growth in both the short- and long-term will be driven primarily by wind energy, with
solar and biomass energy playing lesser roles.
We are maintaining our 2015 growth forecast for non-hydropower renewable energy generation in Austria
at 6.2% this quarter. Growth will be driven primarily by wind energy, with biomass and solar energy
playing smaller roles in the sector. We are also maintaining our long-term outlook for the Austrian

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Japan Renewables Report Q1 2015

Japan Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: We are maintaining our 2015 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy generation and
capacity in Japan this quarter. Our long-term forecasts for the sector remain stable as well, although we
highlight that a potential change in regulations in April 2015 poses a downside risk.
We have maintained our 2015 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy generation and capacity in
Japan this quarter. For 2015, we expect around 5.6GW of new renewable energy capacity to come online,

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Kenya Renewables Report Q1 2015

Kenya Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: The Kenyan government's push to improve electrification rates, expand renewable energy,
improve electricity trade links and reduce its reliance on hydropower and diesel are strategically sound
moves that will benefit the country both economically and socially over the coming decade. We hold a
particularly optimistic outlook towards the country's geothermal industry, as capacity comes online and the
government continues to invite proposals for the construction of new geothermal power plants.

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Canada Renewables Report Q4 2014

Canada Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 22 2014

BMI View: On paper, Canada is an excellent candidate for non-hydro renewable development; with vast
wind resources, plenty of land to construct wind farms, a national commitment to rid itself of coal fired
electrical generation and a safe investment climate. But the country's constitutional arrangements, which
leave emissions targets with the federal government and precise energy mix policies with provincial
jurisdictions, have created a patchwork quilt of markets and policies across the country. Canada does

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Greece Renewables Report Q4 2014

Greece Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 22 2014

BMI View: After a surge in wind capacity installation rates during 2013 we expect to see a slowdown in the
Greek wind market and wider non-hydro renewables industry. Recent project announcements highlight that
the wind sector will continue to expand in future, but at a slower rate - in line with the changes made to the
Greece renewables policy, under the 'New Deal' earlier in 2014.
As part of the EU, Greece has committed to the European Commission's 20-20-20 Energy and Climate

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China Renewables Report Q4 2014

China Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: We maintain a positive outlook on the non-hydropower renewable energy sector in China, and
are leaving our forecasts unchanged. The country will continue to be the fastest growing and the largest
market in terms of installed renewables capacity globally.
We have maintained our 2014 forecasts for non-hydropower renewable energy in China this quarter. We
expect 12.2GW of solar capacity to come online in 2014, along with around 7GW of wind and biomass
installations.

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France Renewables Report Q4 2014

France Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: While we are maintaining our forecasts for the non-hydropower renewable energy sector in
France this quarter, the passing of the long-awaited energy bill at the end of July 2014 marks an important
step forward towards the reduction of the country's reliance on nuclear energy sources over the medium to
long term. However, we note that the proposed policy mechanisms are mainly aimed at the reduction of
electricity demand and greater energy sufficiency and do not address the question of returns for renewable

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Germany Renewables Report Q4 2014

Germany Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: Germany's renewables expansion, although hugely successful in terms of growth, has had
major implications on the country's power sector - and wider economy. These include elevated electricity
costs, grid instability, an erosion of economic competitiveness and a fall in wholesale electricity prices.
German's renewables expansion has been undeniably successful in terms of capacity growth over the last
three years and the contribution renewables generation makes to the country's electricity mix. Focusing

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Italy Renewables Report Q4 2014

Italy Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: We are forecasting non-hydropower renewable generation in Italy to grow by 4.0% in 2014,
which is significantly lower than the five-year historical average. We attribute this slowdown to the
government's decision to stop granting feed-in tariffs (FiTs) for new solar installations starting from July
2013 and the limited availability of FiTs available for wind energy. We have also maintained our long-term
forecasts for the Italian renewable energy sector this quarter and expect growth to continue to slow over

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Netherlands Renewables Report Q4 2014

Netherlands Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: Overall the future is looking positive for the renewable energy market in the Netherlands. While
government downgrades of renewable energy targets undermined confidence in the sector in the short term,
more substantial subsidies and long-term support for growth are encouraging potential investors and we
are seeing a range of projects filling up the pipeline, particularly in terms of new wind capacity.
As part of the EU, the Netherlands was obliged to set targets for renewable energy generation; these were

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South Africa Renewables Report Q4 2014

South Africa Renewables Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 8 2014

BMI View: We have long-held a positive outlook towards the South African renewables industry and have
highlighted the market as one of our 'global renewables brightspots' on account of the growth potential and
investment opportunities on offer. The country's solid renewables regulatory framework has attracted
significant foreign investor interest and the industry is set to expand rapidly over the coming years.
However, uncertainty in its business environment and economic outlook dampens the overall score.

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