Slovenia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2014

Slovenia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2014

$1,295.00

Publication ID
BMI0214248
Publication Date
February 26, 2014
Pages
88
Regions Covered
Publisher

BMI View: Recapitalisation of Slovenia's banks this year will continue to constrain budgets, with
significant pressure on public healthcare spending. The country should benefit from an uptick in the
regional economic outlook, though country's unemployment rate and deleveraging by government and
corporations will continue to put significant strain on the ZZZS, which is primarily dependent on insurance
contributions. Spending cuts, pay freezes and price reductions for pharmaceuticals are all measures that
could be employed to reduce the deficit. The pharmaceutical sector faces the prospect of price ceilings and
further cost-cutting measures. As a result, we continue to believe pharmaceutical and healthcare spending
will not show real growth until 2015 at the earliest.
Headline Expenditure Projections
- Pharmaceuticals: EUR720mn (US$950mn) in 2013 to EUR730mn (US$920mn) in 2014; +0.7% in
local currency terms and -3.1% in US dollar terms.
- Healthcare: EUR3.22bn (US$4.25bn) in 2013 to EUR3.18bn (US$4.04bn) in 2014; -1.1% in local
currency terms and -4.8% in US dollar terms.

BMI Industry View ......... 7
SWOT ...... 9
Political ................... 11
Economic ................. 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast ........ 14
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast .......... 14
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts. . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Healthcare Market Forecast 16
Table: Slovenia Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts. . 17
Table: Slovenia Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts 17
Table: Slovenia Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts . . . . . 18
Prescription Drug Market ... 18
Table: Slovenia Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts . . . . . . . . 19
Patented Drug Market Forecast ........... 20
Table: Slovenia Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts21
Generic Drug Market Forecast ............ 22
Table: Slovenia Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts. 23
OTC Medicine Market Forecast ........... 24
Table: Slovenia Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts . . . . . 25
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast ........... 25
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (US$mn). . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (EURmn). . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario ... 28
Macroeconomic Forecasts .............. 29
Economic Analysis ..... 29
Table: Slovenia - Economic Activity . . . . . . . . . . 32
Industry Risk Reward Ratings ......... 33
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings ........ 33
Slovenia Risk/Reward Ratings .............. 39
Rewards ................. 39
Risks . 39
Market Overview ......... 41
Industry Trends And Developments .............. 43
Epidemiology .......... 43
Healthcare Sector .... 44
Regulatory Development ................. 47
Intellectual Property Regime .............. 48
Pricing Regime ........ 48
Reimbursement Regime ..... 50
Competitive Landscape ................... 53
Pharmaceutical Industry ... 53
Recent Pharmaceutical Industry Developments ........... 54
Company Profile .......... 55
Krka ... 55
Lek (Novartis/Sandoz) 60
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) ...... 64
Sanofi . 67
Pfizer . 69
Novartis ................... 72
Merck & Co .............. 75
Demographic Forecast .................... 77
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020, 1990-2020 ('000). . . . . . . . 78
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
Table: Slovenia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
Table: Slovenia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . . 80
Glossary ....... 81
Methodology 83
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model ............. 83
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model .................... 83
Notes On Methodology ...... 84
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ...... 85
Ratings Overview ..... 86
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
Indicator Weightings 87

List of Tables
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (US$mn)
Table: Slovenia Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (EURmn)
Table: Slovenia - Economic Activity
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Slovenia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Slovenia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators

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