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Portugal Renewables Report Q1 2015

Portugal Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Growth in the Portuguese renewable energy market continues to be sluggish, with the country's
embattled economy weighing on growth prospects in the power and renewables industries. The wind sector
dominates the renewables mix. We do not expect growth to pick up markedly as investor sentiment remains
low and the renewables project pipeline is limited.
Portugal has been pursuing a green energy agenda since 2001, adopting the E4 Programme (Energy

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Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: With no domestic energy resources, Hong Kong will be required to meet growing oil and gas
demand through imports alone. While Hong Kong can ostensibly fall back on China in order to fulfil its
energy needs, there is some resistance to an overreliance on its parent state from both private and public
entities. Still, as Hong Kong becomes increasingly politically intertwined with Beijing, so too will its energy
policy, and the city-state is increasingly likely to turn to the mainland to achieve its goal of curbing its

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Bahrain Water Report Q1 2015

Bahrain Water Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Overall little has changed in the Bahrain water sector; however, we have upgraded our forecasts
following the release of new historical data. We anticipate that the need for greater water security and more
efficient distribution infrastructure will continue to be the key issues facing the water services sector, yet the
subdued project pipeline and the difficulties in obtaining financing will offer minimal opportunities for
water infrastructure groups.

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Russia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Russia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Russia continues its attempts to thwart US and EU sanctions, though will struggle to develop
more technically challenging shale and offshore prospects. That said, there is progress with onshore field
developments in East and West Siberia that will be crucial to mitigating heavy declines from maturing
conventional fields. The biggest obstacle in the way of further growth is the dominance of a few large local
and state-backed players in the market, which makes projects vulnerable to these firms' growing financial
commitments.

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Italy Water Report Q1 2015

Italy Water Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: We have extended our forecasts this quarter to cover new indicators, including extraction by
source (lake, river, reservoir, desalination, ground water, spring water, and non-mains consumption).
Overall we maintain our outlook on the Italian water sector, emphasising the need for further
consolidation, improved management and additional investment. However, given the economic slowdown
and continued government financing issues, we do not anticipate much in the way of improvement over our
forecast period.

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Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Fighting has derailed the country's fragile production recovery, adding further downside
pressure to its bearish long-term production outlook. With the government claiming loose control of the
major oil fields, output could start to revive within the quarter. However, given the fractured and volatile
nature of the conflict and the heavy rebel presence in the oil-producing states, we anticipate more lasting
production outages.
The main trends and developments we highlight for Sudan and South Sudan's oil and gas sectors are:

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South Africa Water Report Q1 2015

South Africa Water Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: We have maintained our water forecasts this quarter, as South Africa's water industry continues
to remain comparatively strong, with a large amount of projects in the pipeline. However, with numerous
issues plaguing the water services sector, and limited funds, we anticipate little in the way of new
infrastructure project developments over the coming year.
We highlight various core problems facing the water sector in South Africa. The first of these is the

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Tanzania Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Tanzania Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: An unsettled regulatory environment continues to weigh on development of Tanzania's
substantial gas resources. A muted response to the latest licensing round signals market sentiment has
begun to weaken, in spite of a string of major discoveries. Failure to pass the Natural Gas Policy in 2015
will threaten delay to FID on the Lindi LNG project, with downside risk to first production by 2022.
The main trends and developments we highlight for Tanzania's oil and gas sector are:

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Trinidad and Tobago Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Trinidad and Tobago Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Trinidad & Tobago has benefitted from a strong pipeline of upstream investment in the oil and
gas sector. The impact of a closing market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports in the US has been
ameliorated by growing shipments to Europe, South American and Asia in particular. We continue to
forecast growth in natural gas output to moderate by the end of the decade and expect only incremental
gains liquids production.
The main trends and developments in the Trinidad & Tobago (T&T) oil and gas sector are:

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Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Turkey will remain heavily dependent upon oil and gas imports for the foreseeable future.
Phase II of Shah Deniz and the decision to proceed with the TAP and TANAP natural gas pipelines will
cement Turkey's position as a critical transit country.. There is upside potential to domestic energy
production from the Black Sea and unconventional developments, although it remains too early for either to
be factored into our forecasts. Mounting investment into exploration activities underscores the

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Turkmenistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Turkmenistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Turkmenistan's growing gas reserves have the country's energy profile on a positive trajectory,
as reflected by our forecasts for strong growth in gas production over the coming years. Our forecast for
gas production to reach 108.8bcm per annum by 2018 implies an average growth rate of 7.4% per annum.
The country's rising potential is supporting a significant strengthening of ties with China, with whom it
shares the China-Central Asia Pipeline, which is slated to provide approximately 40% of China's gas
imports by 2020.

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Nordics Power Report Q1 2015

Nordics Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: With our fundamental assumptions for the three Nordic markets covered in this report
unvaried, our forecasts for their power sectors remain largely unchanged this quarter. Overall, we maintain
our view that, while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone
remains a major risk factor for the consumption and generation outlook of the three Nordic countries, as
more regional instability could undermine their economic activity. In terms of sectoral developments, we

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Azerbaijan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Azerbaijan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: The outlook for Azerbaijan's upstream sector is broadly bullish, with a substantial increase in
the country's natural gas production offsetting a longer-term decline in oil output. We are more bearish on
the downstream, and do not believe that forecast global refined fuels demand-supply dynamics will support
the country's planned refinery upgrade and expansion projects.
Key trends we highlight for Azerbaijan's oil and gas sector:

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Norway Power Report Q1 2015

Norway Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

Recent developments:
■ Statkraft, the country's largest power producer has allocated NOK12bn (USD1.81bn) to upgrade
Norwegian and Swedish hydropower plants from 2014 to 2018. Also, the country's fifth largest utility,
BKK Produksjon has started to upgrade its hydro production facilities. BKK aims to upgrade its Matre
plant to almost double the capacity of its existing plant by 2016, from 96MW to 180MW.
■ Norway plans to two build subsea power cables connecting Norway to the UK and Germany, both with

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Czech Republic Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Czech Republic Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: While a moratorium on shale gas exploration, the Czech Republic will remain highly dependent
on imported oil and gas, mostly from Russia, as conventional hydrocarbons production potential is limited.
With demand trends remaining relatively weak, a small increase in refinery utilisation rates should see only
a modest rise in net refined products import needs throughout our forecast period.
The main trends and developments we highlight for the Czech Republic's oil and gas sector are:

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Argentina Renewables Report Q1 2015

Argentina Renewables Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Despite an attractive regulatory framework and ambitious government plans for expansion, we
maintain a relatively bearish outlook towards the Argentine renewables industry. An unappealing business
environment and limited project financing opportunities will continue to limit the sector's growth potential
over the forecast period.
Argentina's positive regulatory framework for renewables on the surface looks appealing to investors. For
example, the country has adopted an ambitious target of sourcing 8% of its electricity demand from

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Ecuador Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Ecuador Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: Ecuador's upstream sector will experience very modest growth in the remainder of the decade,
but its downstream sector could see transformation from being a net importer of refined products to a
significant exporter of refined products by 2017. BMI overall holds a bearish outlook for the country, with a
big question mark hanging over the future of Ecuador's largest untapped oil field.
The key trends and developments in Ecuador's oil and gas sector are:

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Growth of the Indian Battery Market

Growth of the Indian Battery Market

Date Published: Nov 14 2014

The Indian battery market is projected to remain optimistic in the coming years, with the sector expected to witness a natural erosion of the unorganized sector, benefitting the organized segment. The growth of the battery market is driven by the increasing demand of sectors including, automotive and industrial. Demand in these sectors is boosted by usage in the telecom, railways, power and other industrial applications. With the introduction of electric vehicles, the coming decade is expected to witness a shift towards lithium-ion and fuel cell technologies.

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Argentina Water Report Q1 2015

Argentina Water Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: This quarter we have expanded our forecasts to include new projections for water extraction by
source, and treated wastewater. These additions have provided extra data to be incorporated into our
existing forecasts, resulting in their revisions also. Overall, we expect investment to continue to trickle into
the sector over the short term, constraining expansion and modernisation projects, with the majority of
funds centred on hydropower and water storage.

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Uganda Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Uganda Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: A resolution of the refinery dispute, the signing of a MoU with oil companies and the award of
CNOOC's Kingfisher production license are finally paving the way for the country to become an oil
producer. However, we forecast first oil in Uganda in 2020 one year behind our previous estimate. A series
of limitations, most notably the infrastructure projects required for oil exports, will see upstream
developments proceed slowly, and preclude a large-scale ramp-up in production until 2020. This is far

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