Future of the Argentine Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

Future of the Argentine Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

$1,250.00

Publication ID
SDI0614119
Publication Date
June 30, 2014
Pages
116
Regions Covered
Publisher
The Future of the Argentine Defense Industry Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019,published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Argentine defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.
 

Key Findings

  • The Argentine defense market, estimated to value US$4.5 billion in 2014, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.20% during the forecast period to value US$7.0 billion in 2019
  • The increase in expenditure can be credited to the modernization efforts to replace the aging military hardware, the Falkland Islands territorial dispute with the UK, and participation in peacekeeping missions
  • Over the forecast period, imports of defense equipment such as aircraft, submarines, radars, armored vehicles, and military logistics vehicles are expected to increase due to the country's plans to modernize its armed forces
  • The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase at an average of 1.02% over the forecast period from an average of 0.76% registered during 2010-2014
  • The Argentine homeland security budget stands at US$3.0 billion in 2014 and is expected to increase to reach US$4.6 billion in 2019, at a CAGR of 6.38%
 

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Argentine defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. 
 

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: 

  • Argentine defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Argentine defense industry during 2015-2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure patterns and modernization patterns 
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Argentine defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry 
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years 
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Argentine defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis
 

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the Argentine defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Argentine defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis,  Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report about?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Argentine Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Argentine defense budget forecasted to reach US$7.0 billion by 2019
3.1.2. Defense expenditure to be driven by replacement of ageing equipment, the Falkland Islands dispute with the UK and contributions to international peacekeeping missions
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to reach 1.13% by 2019
3.1.4. Per capita defense spending forecasted to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. The Argentine MoD to increase capital expenditure at a CAGR of 20.54% over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure anticipated to reach US$4.6 billion in 2019
3.3.2. Organized crime and Cyber Security to drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Argentina considered at 'low risk' of terrorist attack
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Argentine defense expenditure to increase at a CAGR of 9.20% during the forecast period
3.4.2. Argentine defense expenditure is relatively smaller than other Latin American countries
3.4.3. Argentina's defense budget as a percentage of GDP to increase during 2015-2019
3.4.4. Argentina suffers a low level of terrorist activity
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Submarine
3.5.2. Training Aircraft
3.5.3. Transport Aircraft

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Argentine defense imports anticipated to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2. The US is a major arms supplier to Argentina during 2009-2013
4.1.3. Aircraft account for the majority of Argentine arms imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Argentina has negligible arms exports

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of Supplier: Medium to low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: Medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low to high
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry
6.1.2. Open foreign direct investment policy
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. FMS is an effective entry route for foreign defense companies
6.2.2. Joint product development and military collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Small defense budget and limited technological capability limits market entry for foreign companies
6.3.2. Argentina's debt default history may hinder the entrance of private investors

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Domestic Public Companies
7.2.1. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: overview
7.2.2. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: defense products
7.2.3. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: alliances
7.2.5. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Astillero Río Santiago: overview
7.2.7. Astillero Río Santiago: products and services
7.2.8. Astillero Río Santiago: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Astillero Río Santiago: alliances
7.3. Citedef: overview
7.3.1. Citedef: products and services
7.3.2. Citedef: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.3. Tandanor: overview
7.3.4. Tandanor: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.5. Tandanor: recent contract wins
7.3.6. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: overview
7.3.7. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: defense products
7.3.8. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: alliances
7.3.10. INVAP SE: overview
7.3.11. INVAP SE: defense products
7.3.12. INVAP S.E.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.13. INVAP S.E.: alliances
7.3.14. Nostromo Defensa SA: overview
7.3.15. Nostromo Defensa SA: products and services
7.3.16. Nostromo Defensa SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.17. Nostromo Defensa SA: alliances
7.3.18. Nostromo Defensa SA: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households (In mn)
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.5. Consumer Price Index
8.2.6. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.7. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2.8. LCU per EUR (period average)
8.2.9. Lending Rate
8.2.10. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.12. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.13. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.15. Goods balance as a % of GDP
8.2.16. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.17. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.18. Services balance as a % of GDP
8.2.19. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.20. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.21. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.8. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.3.10. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air transport, freight
8.4.2. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer
 

List of Tables

Table 1: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 2: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2015-2019
Table 3: Argentine Defense Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2010-2014
Table 4: Argentine Defense Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2015-2019
Table 5: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010-2014
Table 6: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015-2019
Table 7: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2010-2014
Table 8: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2015-2019
Table 9: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Table 10: Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Table 11: Argentine Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 12: Argentine Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 13: Argentine Capital Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2010-2014
Table 14: Argentine Capital Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2015-2019
Table 15: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 16: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 17: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (ARS billion), 2010-2014
Table 18: Argentine  Homeland Security Expenditure (ARS billion), 2015-2019
Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Table20: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 21: Offset Regulations in Argentina
Table 22: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Product Focus
Table 23: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Alliances
Table 24: Fábrica Argentina de Aviones - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: Astillero Río Santiago - Product Focus
Table 26: Astillero Río Santiago - Alliances
Table 27: Citedef - Product Focus
Table 28: Tandanor - Product Focus
Table 29: Tandanor - Recent Contract Wins
Table 30: Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares - Product Focus
Table 31:Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares - Alliances
Table 32: INVAP SE - Product Focus
Table 33: INVAP S.E. - Alliances
Table 34: Nostromo Defensa SA - Product Focus
Table 35: Nostromo Defensa SA - Alliances
Table 36: Nostromo Defensa SA - Recent Contract Wins
 

List of Figures

Figure 1: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 2: Argentine Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2015-2019
Figure 3: Argentine Defense Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 4: Argentine Defense Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 5: Argentina GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-2014
Figure 6: Argentine GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures  Percentage of GDP, 2015-2019
Figure 7: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2010-2014
Figure 8: Argentine Per Capita Defense Expenditure, 2015-2019
Figure 9:Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Figure 10:Argentine Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Figure 11: Argentine Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2010-2014
Figure 12: Argentine Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 13: Argentine Capital Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 14: Argentine Capital Expenditure (in ARS Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 15: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Figure 16:  Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 17: Argentine Homeland Security Expenditure (ARS billion), 2010-2014
Figure 18: Argentine  Homeland Security Expenditure (ARS billion), 2015-2019
Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Figure 22: Benchmarking with World's Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 23: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2014
Figure 24: Submarines(US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 25:Training Aircraft (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 26: Transport Aircraft (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 27: Argentine Defense Imports (TIV values) 2009-2013
Figure 28: Argentine Defense Imports by country (%), 2009-2013
Figure 29: Argentine defense Imports by Category,2009-2013
Figure 30: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 31: Argentina Rural Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 32: Argentina Urban Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 33: ArgentinaNumber of Households (In mn), 2008-2017
Figure 34: Argentina GDP Per Capita, 2005-2014
Figure 35: Argentina GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2010-2019
Figure 36: Argentina Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2003-2012
Figure 37: Argentina Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2003-2012
Figure 38: Argentina Consumer Price Index, 2005-2014
Figure 39: Argentina Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 40: Local Currency per USD, 2005-2014
Figure 41: LCU per EUR (period average), 2005-2014
Figure 42: Lending Rate, 2003-2012
Figure 43: Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012
Figure 44: Argentina Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 45: Argentina Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 46: Argentina Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 47: Argentina Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 48: Argentina Goods balance as a % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 49: ArgentinaService Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 50: ArgentinaService Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 51: Argentina Services balance as a % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 52: Argentina Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 53: Argentina Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2003-2011
Figure 54: Argentina International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 55: Argentina Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 56: ArgentinaHydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 57: Argentina Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 58: Argentina Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts),    2001-2010
Figure 59: Argentina Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 60: Argentina Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 61: Argentina Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 62: Argentina Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 63: Argentina Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 64: Argentina Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011
Figure 65: Argentina Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002-2011
Figure 66: Argentina Overall Construction (US$ Billion), 2006-2014
Figure 67: Argentina Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 68: Argentina Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 69: Argentina Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 70: Argentina Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2003-2012
  1. Fábrica Argentina de Aviones SA (FAdeA)
  2. Astillero Río Santiago (ARS)
  3. Citedef
  4. Tandanor
  5. Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares
  6. INVAP SE
  7. Nostromo Defensa SA
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