The very first standardized deployments of 5G-based FWA are expected to be commercialized as early as 2019. Largely driven by early commercial rollouts by Verizon Communications and AT&T in the United States, 5G-based FWA subscriptions are expected to account for $1 Billion in service revenue by the end of 2019 alone. The market is further expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 84% between 2019 and 2025, eventually accounting for more than $40 Billion.
The “5G for FWA (Fixed Wireless Access): 2017 – 2030 – Opportunities, Challenges, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G-based FWA ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, revenue potential, application scenarios, service provider deployment commitments, case studies, spectrum availability/allocation, vendor profiles and strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G-based FWA investments and operator services.
The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report. Topics Covered
The report covers the following topics:
- 5G architecture, requirements and applications
- Market drivers and barriers to the adoption of 5G
- Key enabling technologies and complementary concepts
- Business case and application scenarios for 5G-based FWA
- Analysis of spectrum availability and allocation for 5G-based FWA
- Case studies of 13 FWA deployments based on 5G and other wireless technologies
- Company profiles and strategies of 80 FWA vendors
- Strategic recommendations for vendors and service providers
- Market analysis and forecasts till 2030
Forecast Segmentation
Market forecasts are provided for each of the following submarkets and their subcategories:
5G Infrastructure Investments
- 5G NR (New Radio) Infrastructure
- NextGen (Next Generation) Core Network
- Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking
5G-Based FWA User Equipment Investments
- Unit Shipments
- Unit Shipment Revenue
5G-Based FWA Operator Services
- Subscriptions
- Service Revenue
Application Scenario Segmentation
- Broadband Internet
- Pay TV
- IoT & Other Applications
User Base Segmentation
- Residential
- Business
Regional Segmentation
- Asia Pacific
- Eastern Europe
- Latin & Central America
- Middle East & Africa
- North America
- Western Europe
Key Questions Answered
The report provides answers to the following key questions:
- How big is the opportunity for 5G-based FWA?
- What trends, challenges and barriers will influence the development and adoption of 5G-based FWA?
- How have advanced antenna and chip technologies made it possible to utilize millimeter wave spectrum for 5G-based FWA?
- What are the key application scenarios for 5G-based FWA?
- Can 5G-based FWA enable mobile operators to tap into the pay TV market?
- How can mobile operators leverage early deployments of 5G-based FWA to better prepare their networks for planned 5G mobile service rollouts?
- What will be the number of 5G-based FWA subscriptions in 2019 and at what rate will it grow?
- Which regions and countries will be the first to adopt 5G-based FWA?
- Which frequency bands are most likely to be utilized by 5G-based FWA deployments?
- What is the cost saving potential of 5G-based FWA for last-mile connectivity?
- Who are the key market players and what are their strategies?
- What strategies should 5G-based FWA vendors and service providers adopt to remain competitive?
Key Findings
The report has the following key findings:
- 5G-based FWA subscriptions are expected to account for $1 Billion in service revenue by the end of 2019 alone. The market is further expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 84% between 2019 and 2025, eventually accounting for more than $40 Billion.
- SNS Research estimates that 5G-based FWA can reduce the initial cost of establishing last-mile connectivity by as much as 40% – in comparison to FTTP (Fiber-to-the-Premises). In addition, 5G can significantly accelerate rollout times by eliminating the need to lay cables as required for FTTP rollouts.
- The 28 GHz frequency band is widely preferred for early 5G-based FWA deployments, as many vendors have already developed 28 GHz-capable equipment – driven by demands for early field trials in multiple markets including the United States and South Korea.
- Millimeter wave wireless connectivity specialists are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for 5G-based FWA. However, in order to compete effectively against existing mobile infrastructure giants, they will need to closely align their multi-gigabit capacity FWA solutions with 3GPP specifications.
- While many industry analysts believe that 5G-based FWA is only suitable for densely populated urban areas, a number of rural carriers – including C Spire and U.S. Cellular – are beginning to view 5G as a means to deliver last-mile broadband connectivity to underserved rural communities.
Figure 1: 5G Network Architecture & Interaction with Other Networks 23
Figure 2: 5G Performance Requirements 24
Figure 3: Conceptual Architecture for End-to-End Network Slicing in Mobile Networks 37
Figure 4: Service Based Architecture for 5G 38
Figure 5: Leading 5G Use Cases 45
Figure 6: Distribution of 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue, by Application Scenario: 2019 (%) 46
Figure 7: 5G-Based FWA Application Scenarios 49
Figure 8: Convergence of 5G with Wireline Networks 50
Figure 9: LTE-Based FWA TV Service Architecture 51
Figure 10: Key Characteristics of Verizon's 5G Specifications 66
Figure 11: Facebook's Terragraph Network 69
Figure 12: NBN's FWA Equipment Setup 73
Figure 13: Global Pre-Standards 5G Network Investments: 2016 - 2018 ($ Million) 78
Figure 14: Global Pre-Standards 5G Network Investments by Submarket: 2016 - 2018 ($ Million) 79
Figure 15: Global Pre-Standards 5G Base Station Shipments: 2016 - 2018 (Units) 80
Figure 16: Global Pre-Standards 5G Base Station Shipment Revenue: 2016 - 2018 ($ Million) 80
Figure 17: Global Pre-Standards 5G User Equipment Shipments: 2016 - 2018 (Units) 81
Figure 18: Global Pre-Standards 5G User Equipment Shipment Revenue: 2016 - 2018 ($ Million) 81
Figure 19: Global Transport Networking & Other Investments for Pre-Standards 5G Networks: 2016 - 2018 ($ Million) 82
Figure 20: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 83
Figure 21: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments by Submarket: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 84
Figure 22: Global 5G NR Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 84
Figure 23: Global 5G NR Investments by Submarket: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 85
Figure 24: Global 5G Macrocell Base Station Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 85
Figure 25: Global 5G Macrocell Base Station Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 86
Figure 26: Global 5G Small Cell Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 86
Figure 27: Global 5G Small Cell Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 87
Figure 28: Global 5G RRH Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 87
Figure 29: Global 5G RRH Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 88
Figure 30: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Thousands of Units) 88
Figure 31: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 89
Figure 32: Global NextGen Core Network Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 89
Figure 33: Global 5G Fronthaul & Backhaul Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 90
Figure 34: 5G Infrastructure Investments by Region: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 90
Figure 35: Global 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 91
Figure 36: Global 5G-Based CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 92
Figure 37: 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments by Region: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 92
Figure 38: 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue by Region: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 93
Figure 39: Global 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 94
Figure 40: Global 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 95
Figure 41: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue by Application Scenario: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 95
Figure 42: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue for Broadband Internet: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 96
Figure 43: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue for Pay TV: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 96
Figure 44: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue for IoT & Other Applications: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 97
Figure 45: 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions by User Base: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 97
Figure 46: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue by User Base: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 98
Figure 47: 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions for Residential Users: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 98
Figure 48: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue for Residential Users: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 99
Figure 49: 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions for Business Users: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 99
Figure 50: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue for Business Users: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 100
Figure 51: 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions by Region: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 100
Figure 52: 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue by Region: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 101
Figure 53: Asia Pacific 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 102
Figure 54: Asia Pacific 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 102
Figure 55: Asia Pacific 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 103
Figure 56: Asia Pacific 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 103
Figure 57: Asia Pacific 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 104
Figure 58: Eastern Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 105
Figure 59: Eastern Europe 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 105
Figure 60: Eastern Europe 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 106
Figure 61: Eastern Europe 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 106
Figure 62: Eastern Europe 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 107
Figure 63: Latin & Central America 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 108
Figure 64: Latin & Central America 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 108
Figure 65: Latin & Central America 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 109
Figure 66: Latin & Central America 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 109
Figure 67: Latin & Central America 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 110
Figure 68: Middle East & Africa 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 111
Figure 69: Middle East & Africa 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 111
Figure 70: Middle East & Africa 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 112
Figure 71: Middle East & Africa 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 112
Figure 72: Middle East & Africa 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 113
Figure 73: North America 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 114
Figure 74: North America 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 114
Figure 75: North America 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 115
Figure 76: North America 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 115
Figure 77: North America 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 116
Figure 78: Western Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2019 - 2030 ($ Million) 117
Figure 79: Western Europe 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipments: 2019 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 117
Figure 80: Western Europe 5G-Based FWA CPE Unit Shipment Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 118
Figure 81: Western Europe 5G-Based FWA Subscriptions: 2019 - 2030 (Millions) 118
Figure 82: Western Europe 5G-Based FWA Service Revenue: 2019 - 2030 ($ Billion) 119
Figure 83: Cost Comparison Between 5G-Based FWA and FTTP for Last-Mile Connectivity Establishment ($ per Premises) 210
*If Applicable.
Links
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