Agribusiness Market Research Reports, Analysis & Trends

Agribusiness Market Research Reports, Analysis & Trends

 

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France Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

France Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: We forecast a decline in grains growth in 2015/16 in France, as weak wheat prices around the
planting season likely led to a decline in plantings. We forecast wheat production to grow over our forecast
period, and expect production to reach 40.0mn tonnes by 2018/19. The dairy sector will not be
fundamentally affected by the removal of the EU's production quota in early 2015, but will expand out to
2019. Cheese production will grow strongly as international exports will be in strong demand. Poultry

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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa
sector will post reasonably strong growth over our
forecast period to 2018/19. High cocoa prices will
encourage production, while the government has
pledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth.
Stabilisation of the cedi and the announcement of a
higher support price will also aid the sector. The
launch of a new government project to revitalise the
poultry sector suggests that the challenges facing the
segment as it struggles to compete with imports are

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Indonesia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Indonesia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: Overall, we hold an optimistic outlook on Indonesia's agriculture sector and see significant
growth opportunities in sub-sectors such as livestock, palm oil and cocoa. While we believe the
government's goal to reach self-sufficiency in rice by 2015 is attainable, we are less confident about other
commodities such as sugar and corn. We also highlight that the country's aim to become the second largest
coffee producer in the world by 2015 is unrealistic. Much of our scepticism relates to the lack of proper

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Kenya Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Kenya Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: The key development in Kenya's agricultural sector over 2015 will be the abolition of the
safeguard protecting unlimited amounts of duty-free sugar imports into the country from COMESA
countries. As Kenya's sugar industry is uncompetitive relative to its regional neighbours, we believe that
this will greatly stunt growth of the country's sugar sector. Over the long term, we believe Kenya's corn
sector shows the most potential for growth, owing to regional currency stability which will encourage input

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Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: Increases in export duties on both sugar and wheat - both announced towards the end of 2014 -
are indicators of the government's willingness to support the interests of producers over consumers. Sugar
prices in particular remain elevated in Pakistan compared to prices on the world market. Prices for
Pakistan's core agricultural commodities have generally been weak in 2014 and Q115, but we see rice and
cotton in particular gathering support in 2015 and over the later years of our forecast period to 2019. We

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Russia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Russia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

We have considerably downgraded our outlook for medium-term growth across the general Russian
agricultural sector. A currency crisis leading to a severe deterioration in the fiscal situation of the Russian
government will result in lower subsidies to the developing dairy and livestock industries. As such, we have
revised down our outlook for both out to 2018/19. That said, the country's ban on agricultural imports from
certain countries will provide a boon to production over the coming year, as domestic producers take

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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector. The latest finding of
high levels of toxic substances in poultry feed brings much cause for concern as it reflects on the low food
safety standards employed by the country, even in its largest agriculture sector. Indeed, structural problems
still plague the industry. In the medium term, for example, the frequent occurrences of strikes, or hartals
and road blockages will keep our optimism for the industry at bay as these often aggravate the logistical

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Ethiopia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Ethiopia Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Date Published: Jan 30 2015

BMI View: Production prospects look broadly favourable for the Ethiopian agriculture sector over the
medium term. This will largely be due to more investment in the sector, along with higher incomes
contributing to consumption growth. We believe the sugar sector has the most potential, as investments in
new sugar refineries will make sugar one of the few reliable agricultural exports over the forecast period.
We see relatively pedestrian output growth for Ethiopia's coffee sector, but see upside risks as we have

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Central America Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Central America Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 21 2015

BMI View: The Central America region continues to struggle with disease outbreaks in the coffee sector,
which decimated the 2013 crop. We believe that coffee production will remain at risk over the next few
years as the nature of subsistence farming will limit investment into safeguards. Countries in Central
America are generally dependent on corn imports and we expect the corn production deficit to widen over
our forecast period. Strength in the US dollar over this time frame will hurt the capital accounts of the

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Spain Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Spain Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 14 2015
The importance of pork in local diets and still strong pork exports should continue to provide support for pork production and consumption growth. We forecast pork production to rise by 11.2% to 3.8mn tonnes over our forecasted period from 2012/13 out to 2017/2018. Meanwhile, a sharp drop in yields for wheat and barley, and a fall in corn acreage due to irrigation concerns bode poorly for grain producers going forward.
 
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Argentina Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Argentina Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
With a deteriorating economic environment, the Argentine grain sector will continue to play centre stage over the medium term. With foreign reserves under pressure, grain exports (particularly soybean) will remain vital, but there is increasing evidence of hoarding, which could lead to clashes with the government over policy.
 
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Australia Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Australia Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
The Australian agriculture sector is still recovering from a decade of subdued production growth due to extreme weather and a lack of investment. The industry is expected to remain buoyant in 2014 and 2015, largely supported by export demand from Asia and elevated grains and oilseeds prices. In the longer term, we see major export growth opportunities in the sugar and livestock sectors.
 
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Canada Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Canada Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
We believe that Canada will experience another year-on-year decline in grains production in 2015/16, as lower average prices and high stocks will limit incentives for farmers. The country's poultry industry is well placed to post strong growth in 2015 and beyond, while we believe that the Canadian beef and pork industries will gain the most from having signed the EU-Canada Free Trade Agreement in October 2013 
 
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Germany Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Germany Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
German pork producers will come under pressure, owing to the ban on meat imports from Western countries that has been imposed by Russian authorities. On the other hand, sugar production should expand at a stronger pace over the coming years, owing to an increase in growing areas and yields, as well as the potential end to EU's sugar production quota in 2017. Wheat output should also have a strong harvest in 2014/15, although there are some concerns over wheat quality owing to some wet spells.
 
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Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
We continue to favour the Tanzanian sugar and coffee industries over the medium term owing to the potential for growth on the back of strong investment in capacity. The grain industry in Tanzania will remain less competitive than in other countries in the region, particularly South Africa and Zambia, and we see little potential for the country to become a major grain exporter.
 

Key Forecasts 

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United States Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

United States Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Jan 7 2015
Production growth in the corn will be excellent in 2013/14 owing to record yields. However, farm incomes will be significantly lower given decreases in prices. Livestock will see some mild improvement in production growth in 2014/15, mainly owing to the poultry and pork sectors. The dairy sector is likely to see some improvement, but a record drought in California (the largest producing state) leads to strong downside production risks.
 
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Japan Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Japan Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 31 2014
Despite the government's acknowledgement that the country's agricultural sector is in need of reform and transformation, we believe that the piecemeal policies adopted and the lack of compromise in international free trade talks points to the gap between rhetoric and action. Indeed, Japan's uncompromising stance in maintaining tariffs on imported rice, wheat, beef, pork, dairy and sugar - the country's sacred farm products list - might prove costly in the long run.
 
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Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 31 2014
We hold a positive view on the agribusiness sector of Mozambique, as the country is able to tap in to abundant and largely unexploited land and water resources. Of the utmost importance is boosting agricultural productivity by improving irrigation and introducing technology to small-scale farmers. The government has also highlighted the need to improve food and nutritional safety and to facilitate more agricultural reform.
 
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Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 31 2014
Venezuela is on track to record another lacklustre year for agricultural production in 2014, as output price restrictions and soaring input prices are keeping a lid on investment in crops and machinery. Nicolás Maduro and ruling Partido Socialista Unido de Venezuela made the choice of continuity in terms of interventionist policies, which will maintain a challenging environment for agricultural and food production.
 
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Peru Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Peru Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 24 2014
Our outlook for Peru's agricultural sector remains positive. Export crops such as coffee and cocoa are hampered by a lack of infrastructure and investment, but there is scope for strong growth in both, particularly as Peru is becoming increasingly recognised for organic and speciality crops. The country is set to benefit from cheaper food imports owing to the lower price of grains as well as the weakness in the Argentine peso, from where it imports a great deal of its grain.
 

Key Forecasts 

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