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Russia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Russia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 17 2014
The considerable long-term potential of Russia commercial real estate sector is being undermined by the current economic and geopolitical headwinds facing the country. Falling foreign investment combined with an increasingly cautious private sector are leading rental costs to stagnate across the market, with limited supply providing an important buffer against a contraction in rates.
 
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Israel Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Israel Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 17 2014
The Israeli retail market is weathering the effects of the conflict in Gaza well. Although conflict is sure to have a dampening effect on the economy, BMI forecasts strong growth in Israel for 2015, and the drivers underlying the real estate market, such as Israel's world class technology industry and relatively robust institutions, remain strong. Israel is a location where people are accustomed to risk and the effects of political conflict and violence.
 
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Poland Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Poland Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 17 2014
Further macroeconomic growth in 2015 is set to provide the Polish commercial real estate sector with the basis for its continuous upward trend. International investors and growing domestic consumer confidence are two main factors in improving demand levels. Poland therefore continues to defend its position as the most stable and commercially attractive market in the region.
 
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Romania Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Romania Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Dec 17 2014
Having lagged behind much of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), a robust and fast growing Romanian economy will provide the principal driver for the country's commercial real estate sector over the next two years. This stable backdrop will allow Romania to put itself increasingly on the radar of the international investment community, as the country acquires something of a safe haven status amid political and economic upheaval to the east and west of the country.
 
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Egypt Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Egypt Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014
Egypt is only just beginning to recover from the political instability seen in the country over the previous three years. On top of this, regional violence and strife have added a further deterrent to would be investors. Instability is also keeping away tourists, negating one of the most powerful drivers of the Egyptian economy.
 
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South Africa Real Estate Report Q1 2015

South Africa Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014
Prospects for commercial real estate in South Africa remain mixed. While sub-sectors such as retail continue to perform well, a sluggish economy and a lack of supply of premium city centre properties may halt growth for commercial real estate in the short and medium term. In the longer term, the growth of the sector will remain highly correlated with economic growth in the country.
 
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China Real Estate Report Q1 2015

China Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Although we see Chinese economic growth slowing in the medium term, we are optimistic for the commercial property sector as a whole, as the maturing of the Chinese economy means that opportunities for new, premium developments remain plentiful. Reflecting this view, there is significant international interest in investing in Chinese commercial property.
 
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Czech Republic Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Czech Republic Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
A robust recovery by the Czech economy has brought some stability to the commercial real estate sector over 2014. Rental rates have stabilised as demand has begun to put downward pressure on vacancy levels. The market, which continues to be seen as one of the most established in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region, has also benefited from slowing growth across the eurozone and increasing intensions in Russia and Ukraine, which have resulted in a steady uptick in transactional volumes in recent months.
 
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Germany Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Germany Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Germany boasts one of the most developed and investor-friendly commercial real estate markets in the European Union, with a dynamic export sector and strong consumer environment supporting steady growth in rental rates in the post economic-downturn era. However, we see slowing GDP taking some of the momentum out of the market with rental rate growth likely to be moderate over the coming year.
 
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Greece Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Greece Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
With the Greek economy back on track for growth, we expect an improvement of the wider macroeconomic situation to also support a recovery of the commercial real estate market. Although there are several positive indicators especially for the office and retail real estate segments, the economic recovery remains highly fragile and uncertainty continues to dominate the market atmosphere.
 
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Hong Kong Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Hong Kong Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Hong Kong, as a global financial hub and a gateway to mainland China, has one of the most dynamic commercial real estate markets in the world. Rental rates, particularly for retail, are among the highest in the world, and the market has traditionally been characterised by strong demand and, due to its small size, limited supply. With the market vulnerable to the impact of an economic slowdown in China, the medium-term outlook is one of stability in rental rates.
 
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Mexico Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Mexico Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Mexico's strengthening economy has created a more lucrative business environment which can be expected to generate growth within the commercial real estate market in the near future. The current transition towards a more service-based economy is creating opportunities for retail developers across the country while the robust manufacturing sector is supporting growth within both logistics and warehousing real estate.
 
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Peru Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Peru Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Weaker economic growth is on the cards for Peru over the next few years however we expect the commercial real estate to remain resilient and record strong growth across all three sub-sectors. Private consumption, foreign investment and infrastructure spending are all on the rise, which will help bolster demand for real estate space. Existing levels of high demand combined with staggeringly low vacancy rates represent a wealth of untapped opportunities for potential developers and investors.
 
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Argentina Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Argentina Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Argentina's commercial real estate sector has been largely resilient to ongoing chaos in the country's economic and political environment over the past few years, having enjoyed a prolonged period of growing demand and low vacancy rates across much of the market. However, there are now increasing signs that weakening private and consumer sentiment are making their way into the sector, as businesses adopt a more conservative outlook and households find themselves hit by rising inflation and falling wages.
 
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Chile Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Chile Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Chile's economic stability is now under threat from weakening demand for copper, the country's most valuable export. As such, we are anticipating a potential slowdown in the commercial real estate market growth as we enter 2015. There remains room for optimism, however, with strong fundamentals cultivating a relatively resilient leasing market.
 
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Kuwait Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Kuwait Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014
Over the long term the Kuwaiti real estate sector continues to provide enticing opportunities. The country enjoys immense oil wealth and high GDP per capita, while government initiatives are supporting an increasingly dynamic private sector. However, we believe that forecast growth in the sector will be pushed back several years due to developments in 2014.
 
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Australia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Australia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014
Australia's commercial real estate market is buoyed by strong fundamentals, with a mature economy, highly skilled workforce, transparent regulation and a welcoming business environment. However, the economy has been posting slower growth; and a slowdown in demand in China, a major destination for Australia's mineral exports, could have an indirect effect on Australia's economy.
 
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Bahrain Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Bahrain Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014
Bahrain's commercial real estate sector is witnessing stagnant growth as a dip in economic output, political instability and an overhanging supply of commercial space combine to keep rental rates down. The country has a number of large-scale commercial projects under development, including the flagship Bahrain Bay project.
 
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Brazil Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Brazil Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014
Brazil's economy has struggled throughout 2014, even falling into recession during Q214. This has negatively affected investor and consumer confidence and weakens the country's economic position in Latin America. While our growth forecast for 2015 stands at only 1.5% we do foresee the long-term potential of Brazil's real estate market to be strong.
 
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Croatia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Croatia Real Estate Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: The dire macroeconomic situation, rising public debt levels, falling consumption levels and low
investor confidence are all factors hinting towards a bleak 2015 for the commercial real estate market.
Continuously falling demand, despite few new developments in the pipeline, is expected to lead to
stagnating rents in all commercial sub-sectors in two of our three monitored cities over the next 24 months.
Net yields will decline across the sub-sectors.in two of our three cities, with only Zadar expected to post
positive movement.

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