Electricity

Electricity Industry Market Research Reports, Analysis and Trends

Electricity Market Research Reports, Analysis & Trends

 

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Nordics Power Report Q1 2015

Nordics Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

BMI View: With our fundamental assumptions for the three Nordic markets covered in this report
unvaried, our forecasts for their power sectors remain largely unchanged this quarter. Overall, we maintain
our view that, while growth expectations in the region are improving, economic woes in the eurozone
remains a major risk factor for the consumption and generation outlook of the three Nordic countries, as
more regional instability could undermine their economic activity. In terms of sectoral developments, we

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Norway Power Report Q1 2015

Norway Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

Recent developments:
■ Statkraft, the country's largest power producer has allocated NOK12bn (USD1.81bn) to upgrade
Norwegian and Swedish hydropower plants from 2014 to 2018. Also, the country's fifth largest utility,
BKK Produksjon has started to upgrade its hydro production facilities. BKK aims to upgrade its Matre
plant to almost double the capacity of its existing plant by 2016, from 96MW to 180MW.
■ Norway plans to two build subsea power cables connecting Norway to the UK and Germany, both with

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Peru Power Report Q1 2015

Peru Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: Total power generation in Peru will grow by an annual average of 6.6% between 2014 and 2023
- the fastest growth rate in South America. The energy-intensive mining sector, a sound business
environment and an expanding consumer base will continue to drive economic growth in Peru - and by
extension power consumption. The expansion in electricity generation will be provided primarily by new
thermal (particularly natural gas) and hydropower capacity, but renewables are gradually starting to gain

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Russia Power Report Q1 2015

Russia Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: The deterioration of the Russian economy will cap demand for electricity and weigh on utilities'
revenues in 2015. A downward revision to our forecasts for real GDP growth amid falling global oil prices,
negative investor sentiment, as well as an electricity tariff freeze, will hit earnings at companies like
Fortum, Gazprom and Inter Rao - discouraging investment in the replacement of aging generation
capacity.
The outlook for the Russian economy - and by extension demand for power - has darkened further this

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Thailand Power Report Q1 2015

Thailand Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: We are forecasting electricity generation in Thailand to grow by 2.8% in 2015, similar to the
growth the country experienced in 2014. Meanwhile, we have moderated our long-term forecasts for
electricity generation in Thailand. This is because the country continues to experience challenges in
procuring gas supplies and is clearly moving towards increasing its reliance on electricity imports.
We are forecasting electricity generation in Thailand to grow by 2.8% in 2015, similar to growth in 2014.

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Venezuela Power Report Q1 2015

Venezuela Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014

BMI View: This quarter we maintain our negative outlook of the Venezuelan electricity market. Although
the country had made some progress with regard to improving existing capacity and bringing new projects
online over the past year, the country continues to suffer from blackouts, stemming from inadequate
hydropower output (primarily as a result of low rainfall levels) and inefficiencies in the transmission and
distribution segment. As such the country is in dire need of further increasing its energy supply and

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Finland Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Finland Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Date Published: Nov 10 2014

Finland Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Summary

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US Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

US Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

US Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Summary

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Argentina Power Report Q1 2015

Argentina Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: Argentina's power generation grew by 5.3% in 2014, as the Atucha II nuclear plant went online
after years of delays - a crucial step in the government's ambitious nuclear expansion plan. Nevertheless,
the country continues to suffer from poor power infrastructure and insufficient installed capacity, as
highlighted by an agreement to start importing Bolivian power by the end of 2015. The recent sovereign
default has further damaged the business environment and prompted us to expect the country to remain

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Malaysia Power Report Q1 2015

Malaysia Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: The Malaysian power sector is set to grow at a slower rate in 2015 than in preceding years as
we expect no thermal projects to be completed in that year. However, we expect sector growth to accelerate
after 2015 as most of the major thermal projects being developed in Malaysia for completion after 2015 are
on schedule.
We forecast electricity generation in Malaysia to grow by 1.9% in 2015. This growth rate marks a
significant slowdown from previous years, with the five-year historical average growth for power

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Mexico Power Report Q1 2015

Mexico Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: We maintain our bright outlook for Mexico's power sector, supported by the country's positive
macroeconomic trajectory and the liberalisation of the Mexican power and hydrocarbon markets.
Generation rose by 3.6% in 2014 and will continue to expand by an annual average of 3.3% until 2023,
driven by a robust annual average power consumption growth of 3.8% along our forecast period.
Moreover, the increase in private and foreign investment due to the reforms will support the expansion in

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Poland Power Report Q1 2015

Poland Power Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

BMI View: Coal-fired electricity generation will continue to dominate Poland's energy mix despite
pressure from the EU to curb coal use and reduce emissions. Under new Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz,
Poland will continue to resist the EU's proposed 2030 energy and climate change targets - with a view to
extracting concessions. Concerns about energy security and rising electricity bills will continue to trump
green energy policies.
Our forecasts for the Polish power sector will continue to be underpinned by the country's desire to burn

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Slovakia Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Slovakia Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Date Published: Nov 5 2014

Slovakia Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2014 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Summary

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Regulations Related to Vietnam’s Build-Operate-Transfer and Independent Power Producer Projects

Regulations Related to Vietnam’s Build-Operate-Transfer and Independent Power Producer Projects

Date Published: Oct 31 2014

Regulations Related to Vietnam’s Build-Operate-Transfer and Independent Power Producer Projects

Summary

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Sudan Power Report Q4 2014

Sudan Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: The end of the civil war provides a window of opportunity for investors to exploit the
hydrocarbons base and ample sunshine to develop a generation capacity in both Sudan and South Sudan.
However, the commercial environment in both is hostile and the political environment remains highly
unstable.
The outlook for Sudan's power sector is moderate. The end of the civil war provides a window of
opportunity for the country to exploit its hydrocarbons base and ample sunshine to develop a domestic

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Tanzania Power Report Q4 2014

Tanzania Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: The outlook for Tanzania's power sector is good. The government has responded to a massive
increase in the demand for electricity by opening up the sector to private investment and allowing foreign
companies to develop the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. Accordingly, both thermal
and renewable energy will enjoy strong growth over the forecast period. In the meantime, the government is
rapidly expanding the transmission network and access to the grid. However, macroeconomic stability, as

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Uganda Power Report Q4 2014

Uganda Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: The outlook for Uganda's power sector is good. The country is investing in both thermal and
renewable energy and generation will double over the next decade. Demand for electricity will also double
as the economy and population grows, and as investment in the electricity grid gives more people access to
power. However, market opportunities are limited by a hazardous investment environment.
The outlook for Uganda's power sector is good. Following an unbundling of the power sector last decade

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United Arab Emirates Power Report Q4 2014

United Arab Emirates Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: This quarter our forecasts for the country remain virtually unchanged. UAE authorities at
both Federal and Emirate levels continue to prioritise generating capacity expansion programmes focusing
on expanding the country electricity mix to include a wider range of fuel sources, spanning to traditional
steam and gas turbines to carbon-light technologies, such as renewables and nuclear. Yet we remain
sceptical about the ability of the country to meet its targets with the anticipated speed.

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Egypt Power Report Q4 2014

Egypt Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: Egypt is in desperate need of increased power capacity, as the country's energy infrastructure
struggles to cope with the demand for power. However, with the political situation still in a state of flux and
the economic outlook remaining poor, Egypt's ability to channel investment towards the sector is likely to
remain limited in the medium term. With electricity remaining a hot political issue, the government is likely
to concentrate its efforts on reforming its elaborate system of energy subsidies, which in addition to pushing

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Iran Power Report Q4 2014

Iran Power Report Q4 2014

Date Published: Oct 29 2014

BMI View: With talks to reach an agreement between Iran and the international community in relation to
the country's nuclear industry resuming, but no deal yet seeming likely, the outlook for Iran's power sector
remains uncertain. Risks are growing that the hoped-for loosening of international sanctions will not
materialise, which could threaten the government's hope to boost domestic electricity production in an
effort to meet growing demand and increase exports to its neighbours.

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