Country Overview (Automotive)

Country Overview (Automotive)

Country Overview (Automotive)

Major Automotive Manufacturing and Producing Nations

Within the last ten years there have been major changes when it comes to the automobile industry. Not only have the technologies changed with the rise of more fuel-efficient and eco friendly vehicles taking over the market place but there also has been a major change in the world leaders when it comes to automobile production. In 2000 the United States lead the world in production with roughly 13 million units produced, followed by Japan at 10.1 million. In 2005 US was in a steady decline while other markets rose sharply. The most noted was China whose automobile production doubled by 2005 to 5.8 million units. And during as early as 2008 Japan had taken over the number one spot with over 11.5 million units produced, followed close behind by China at 9.4 million. At this time the US had a large decrease in market share with only around 8.7 million units produced.
 
Since 2009, China has been the biggest car the manufacturing industrial country in the world. Motor industry in China developed quickly after 1990. To give more specific stats, in 2009, roughly 13.8 million cars are made in China, among which are 8 million passenger cars, and 3.4 auto trucks and remaining are other. Among the car the made, Chinese local brand manufactured almost 44%, and joint ventures along with foreign automobile manufacturers manufactured the remaining others. Local brands of China include BYD, Geely, Hafei, Chery, Roewe, the Great wall etc. Foreign automobile manufacturers in China include Mitsubishi, Volkswagen, Hyundai, General Motors, Honda, Toyota, Nissan etc. China has been attaining the top slots and at times first in the Best 10 Lists of the car the industrial countries. The motor industry of Japan is one of the most known industries of the world. In 2008 Japan was the greatest car the industrial country. But in 2009, China surpassed Japan and became the largest automobile manufacturer in the world. Though, motor industry of Japan is still the best in qualities as they deliver a large amount of high quality vehicles that are far more efficient. There are many companies which make the car, motorcycles, building vehicles, engines etc in Japan and their reach is quite spread across different continents. Japanese automobile manufacturers include Honda, Toyota, Nissan, Daihatsu, Mazda, Suzuki, Subaru, Mitsubishi, Kawasaki, Isuzu, Mitsuoka and Yamaha. Japan is usually ranked in the top ranks and at times top three in the Best 10 Lists of the car the industrial countries. In 1980 motor industry of America began and it began with a success. Soon after the beginning the US started to develop quickly and became one of the largest automobile manufacturers in the world. US began with hundreds of companies, but after 1920, three large companies, Ford, General Motors and Chrysler, started to dominate over the industry and today they are a huge superpower in automobiles industry. After the Second World War these companies continued to prosper. US is usually in the top three and at times gets ranked third place in the Best 10 Lists of the car the industrial countries.
 
Major Companies in Automotive Manufacturing & Production
 
North America
 
Company Name
Headquarters
General Motors
Michigan, USA
Ford
Michigan, USA
Chrysler
Michigan, USA
 
South America
 
Company Name
Headquarters
Dacon
Brazil
Koller
Argentina
Winograd
Argentina
 
Europe
 
Company Name
Headquarters
FIAT
Turin, Italy
Skoda
Mlada Boleslav, Czech Republic
Audi
Ingolstadt, Germany
 
Middle East
 
Company Name
Headquarters
Egy-Tech
Egypt
Morattab
Iran
Bahman Group
Iran
 
Africa
 
Company Name
Headquarters
Speranza Chery
Egypt
Menara
Morocco
Shaka
South Africa
 
Asia-Pacific
 
Company Name
Headquarters
Nissan
Yokohama, Japan
Mitsubishi
Tokyo, Japan
Tata Motors
Mumbai, India
 
 
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Algeria Autos Report Q1 2015

Algeria Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

In November 2014, Renault is set to officially open its new Algerian production plant at Oued Tielat, with
the first Symbol model set to be coming off the production line on November 10 2014, just after this report
was written. BMI believes that the commencement of local production by Renault should prove
transformative for the local auto production and supply chain sectors and we will report fully on the official
launch of local product on in our next quarterly update.

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China Autos Report Q1 2015

China Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

We believe that our generally downbeat outlook for China's economy will continue to weigh on auto sales,
while passenger vehicles will remain a bright spot for the sector. According to the China Association of
Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), auto sales growth for September 2014 came in at 2.5%, and for the
first nine months of 2014, auto sales have grown by 7.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 17.0mn units. The
slowdown in sales over the past months should continue, and we expect 2014 vehicle sales to grow by 6.0%

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Colombia Autos Report 2015

Colombia Autos Report 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

BMI forecasts vehicle sales in Colombia to increase 6% in 2014 on the back of steady improvements in the
economy and low base effects from declining sales in 2013. We expect this positive momentum to continue
into 2015, predicting another year of 6% growth. In terms of Colombia's vehicle production, we forecast
growth of 4.5% and 4.0% in 2014 and 2015 respectively.
In April 2014, the Colombian government announced plans to cut tariffs on imported autos components in a

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India Autos Report Q1 2015

India Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

With Narendra Modi's election as prime minister of India bringing newfound political stability, coupled
with the strengthening economy across Q214, the outlook for the auto sector is positive as we enter 2015.
As such, we expect the recent recovery in vehicle sales to continue, driven by passenger vehicle sales
(includes cars, vans and SUVs), and have raised our growth forecast for this segment from 3.0% to 8.0% for
FY2014/15 (April-March). On the other hand, we expect a continued slowdown in the commercial vehicle

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Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Autos Report 2015

Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Autos Report 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

BMI View: BMI's outlook on auto production and sales in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan remains positive,
despite a slowdown in sales figures in the first eight months of 2014. Both countries boast solid
macroeconomic fundamentals and both are seeing strong demand for cars from their citizens.
Turning to production first, Kazakh auto production looks set for strong growth over BMI's five-year
forecast period to 2017. This reflects new production plans by carmakers Toyota Motor and Russia's
AvtoVAZ and Kazakh AutoBIPEK.

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Latvia Autos Report 2015

Latvia Autos Report 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

2014 has proved a positive year for new vehicle sales within Latvia. Over the first nine months of the year,
passenger car (PC) sales were up by 19% year-on-year (y-o-y), at 9,239 units, according to figures from the
European Auto Manufacturers Association (ACEA).
On the commercial vehicle side, 8M14 figures from ACEA show a total of 1,658 light commercial vehicles
(LCVs) sold in country, with a further 754 medium and heavy commercial vehicles sold, plus a further 137
buses, for a total of 2,549 units sold year-to-date.

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Lithuania Autos Report 2015

Lithuania Autos Report 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

2014 has proved a very positive year for new passenger sales within Lithuania. Over the first nine months of
the year, passenger car (PC) sales were up by 24.5% year-on-year (y-o-y), at 11,071 units, according to
figures from the European Auto Manufacturers Association (ACEA).
However, on the commercial vehicle side, the sales performance has been less encouraging. 8M14 figures
from ACEA show a total of 1,328 light commercial vehicles (LCVs) sold in country, with a further 1,431

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Pakistan Autos Report Q1 2015

Pakistan Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 26 2014

We believe that policies drawn up in the new federal budget will support the domestic auto industry, by
creating conditions for stronger sales. The new budget, coupled with our upbeat forecast for private
consumption and gross fixed-capital formation in the country, bodes well for both passenger cars and
commercial vehicles (CVs). While we have maintained our forecast for passenger vehicles, we have revised
our CV sales growth forecast to 9.4% in FY2014/15 (July-June) from 4.5% previously, bringing our overall

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Tanzania Autos Report Q1 2015

Tanzania Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
We are revising our forecast for 2014 up to 80% due to new data availability. However, despite the latest data from Renault indicating that sales of brand new Renault's increased 83% in the first nine months of 2014, BMI continues to predict steady growth (in the order of 3% a year) in new vehicle sales from 2015 onwards in Tanzania up to 2018. This owing to the markets erratic growth and low numbers of total sales.
 
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Venezuela Autos Report Q1 2015

Venezuela Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Vehicle sales in Venezuela declined 83.6% year-on-year (y-o-y), to 13,419 units, in the first nine months of 2014 as the increasingly poor economic outlook impacts the sector. BMI is bearish on Venezuela's private consumption outlook, and we expect this to lead to a 95% drop in autos sales over the full year.
 
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Argentina Autos Report Q1 2015

Argentina Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
Vehicle sales in Argentina declined 34.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first nine months of 2014, to 472,044 units. BMI has become increasingly bearish on the outlook for the Argentine autos sector in 2014 on the back of a devaluation of the peso in January, the likelihood of further weakness in the unit going forward, a deteriorating macroeconomic environment, and new taxes on autos imports.
 
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Cambodia and Laos Autos Report Q1 2015

Cambodia and Laos Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014

The common theme in Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos is that used vehicles make up the overwhelming
majority of their auto markets. The low GDP per capita of these economies makes it difficult for consumers
to afford new cars. However, as long as carmakers maintain their expectations, we do see an advantage for
firms to develop a toehold in these frontier markets.
Over our 2014-2020 period, we forecast GDP per capita to exceed 6.0% annual growth in all these

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Central America Autos Report Q1 2015

Central America Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
The outlook for the autos industry in the Central Americas region in 2014 is modest, with tepid sales growth expected in some markets, but contractions likely in others. This is broadly in line with our outlook for the Latin America region, although many markets in Central America are very small in volumes terms, and modest changes in sales figures could have a relatively large impact on the year-on-year (y-o-y) growth rate.
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Cote d'Ivoire Autos Report Q1 2015

Cote d'Ivoire Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
According to Renault, total industry auto sales in Cote d'Ivoire rose 10.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in September 2014, to 667 units. This brought total vehicle sales for 9M14 to 5,539 units, an increase of 3.9% y-o-y. The recent slowdown in sales has prompted us to downgrade our 2014 forecast from 12.0% to 5.0%, which will see sales reach 6,746 units at the end of the year. Côte d'Ivoire has suffered from chronic underinvestment following years of conflict and civil war.
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Germany Autos Report Q1 2015

Germany Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
In 2013, vehicle sales in Germany declined 4% on the back of a 4.2% drop in the passenger car segment and a 2.2% fall in the commercial vehicle (CV) segment. In 2014, we expect to see a return to growth in the industry, with total vehicle sales forecasted to increase 2.8% over the year.
 
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Japan Autos Report Q1 2015

Japan Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
We reiterate our pessimistic outlook for Japan's domestic auto sales, as the sales tax hike (from 5.0% to 8.0%) in April resulted in auto sales growth being negatively impacted, prompting us to downgrade our 2014 overall vehicle sales forecast to 2.9% from 3.6% previously. In August, Japan saw the largest decline in auto sales since 2011, as the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association (JAMA) announced that auto sales tumbled 9.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 333,471 units.
 
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Mexico Autos Report Q1 2015

Mexico Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
BMI forecasts 6.0% growth in vehicle sales in Mexico in 2014 on the back of a 6.4% increase in passenger car sales and 5.3% growth in the commercial vehicle (CV) segment. In 2015, we project vehicle sales accelerate to 8% spurred by an expansion of 6.5% and 10.8% in the passenger car and CV markets, respectively.
 
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New Zealand Autos Report Q1 2015

New Zealand Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 19 2014
New Zealand's new vehicle sales market continues to strengthen. Over 9M14, total of 66,789 new passenger cars and sports utility vehicles (SUVs) were sold, plus a further 27,694 commercial vehicles (CVs), to produce a total new vehicle sales market total of 94,559 units, according to figures from New Zealand's Motor Industry Association (MIA). On current sales trends, this puts the country well on course to meet BMI's target of 124,850 units for the full year.
 
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Kenya Autos Report Q1 2015

Kenya Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014
BMI has largely maintained its 2014 real GDP forecast at 5.1% and have upgraded its forecast for 2015 to 6.6%. Our country risk team believes this economic expansion in 2015 will continue to be supported by rising private consumption growing by 5.3%, a relatively steady trade deficit, and positive investor sentiment as East Africa's commercial hub leaves a multi-year economic downturn.
 
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Vietnam Autos Report Q1 2015

Vietnam Autos Report Q1 2015

Date Published: Nov 12 2014
The Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association (VAMA) reported that auto sales in July rose 36.0% year-on-year (y-o-y), with passenger vehicles climbing 19.2% y-o-y, while commercial vehicles (CVs) surged 67.6% y-o-y. For the first seven months of 2014, domestic auto sales grew 28.4% to 65,130 units. Between January and July, passenger car sales (including SUVs) recorded growth of 28.5% to 38,471 units.
 
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